Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Ron Paul up as Michele Bachmann Defects to Switzerland and Mitt Romney Rolls Along

In the twilight of the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination race, Mitt Romney has not quite officially clinched the deal but has mathematically eliminated all his opponents. With Santorum and Gingrich bowing to the inevitable, Ron Paul has moved up, winning second place in North Carolina and Indiana. He could crowd out Newt Gingrich to finish third overall, at least in terms of delegate count.

# of delegates secured so far NYT WSJ CNN CBS MSNBC RCP
Mitt Romney 966 966 925 934 966 865
Rick Santorum 264 264 281 247 264 270
Newt Gingrich 130 130 145 130 130 144
Ron Paul 104 104 82 92 104 93
Jon Huntsman 1 1 0 2 0 0
Total 1465 1465 1433 1405 1464 1372
         
% of delegates secured so far        
Mitt Romney 66% 66% 65% 66% 66% 63%
Rick Santorum 18% 18% 20% 18% 18% 20%
Newt Gingrich 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10%
Ron Paul 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7%
         
% of remaining needed to clinch:        
Mitt Romney 22% 22% 26% 24% 22% 31%
Rick Santorum 107% 107% 101% 102% 107% 96%
Newt Gingrich 124% 124% 117% 115% 123% 109%
Ron Paul 127% 127% 125% 119% 127% 115%

It now appears that Mitt Romney won't reach the magic 1144 delegates to clinch until the Texas primary on May 29.

Meanwhile, Michele Bachmann's spokesperson has announced that she has applied for and received dual citizenship in Switzerland:
"Congresswoman Bachmann's husband is of Swiss descent so she has been eligible for dual-citizenship since they got married in 1978. However, recently some of their children wanted to exercise their eligibility for dual-citizenship so they went through the process as a family."
To go from running for President of the United States in January to becoming a citizen of a foreign country in May is strange. It also means Bachmann must have decided against running for President again in the future. Mitt Romney's Swiss bank account will be problem for him enough, America would never stand for a President with divided loyalties to a foreign country. We'll see if Bachmann keeps her Minnesota U.S. House seat.

Update: Michele Bachmann apparently reads this blog as she has withdrawn her application for Swiss citizenship.

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