Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Romney! Romney! Romney!

Mitt Romney picked up all the Easter candy on Tuesday with wins in Wisconsin, Maryland, and Washington, DC. Were the three wins decisive? You be the judge:

Candidate Wisconsin Maryland DC
Mitt Romney 43% 49% 70%
Rick Santorum 38% 29% -
Ron Paul 12% 10% 12%
Newt Gingrich 6% 11% 11%
Jon Hunstman 1% 1% 7%
Michele Bachmann 1% - -


Here's the delegate scoreboard:

# of delegates secured so far NYT WSJ CNN CBS MSNBC RCP
Mitt Romney 655 655 654 642 573 652
Rick Santorum 278 278 270 252 212 269
Newt Gingrich 135 135 137 128 137 140
Ron Paul 51 51 71 45 34 67
Jon Huntsman 1 1 0 2 0 0
Total 1120 1120 1132 1069 956 1128
         
% of delegates secured so far        
Mitt Romney 58% 58% 58% 60% 60% 58%
Rick Santorum 25% 25% 24% 24% 22% 24%
Newt Gingrich 12% 12% 12% 12% 14% 12%
Ron Paul 5% 5% 6% 4% 4% 6%
         
% of remaining needed to clinch:        
Mitt Romney 42% 42% 42% 41% 43% 42%
Rick Santorum 74% 74% 76% 73% 70% 76%
Newt Gingrich 87% 87% 87% 83% 76% 87%
Ron Paul 94% 94% 93% 90% 83% 93%

Mitt Romney is now on the downhill slope with more than half the delegates he needs to clinch the nomination. Ron Paul is close to mathematical elimination with Newt Gingrich not far behind. Romney will just roll on over them if they go winless when the next set of five states vote on April 24.

It's going to be a long three weeks for Rick Santorum. He needs a win on April 24 in his home state of Pennsylvania to have any credibility. He now needs 73% of the remaining delegates to actually win the nomination. That's a big mountain to climb.

1 comment:

buddeshepherd said...

We are going to get another 4 years of Obama aren't we?
I'm not sure it makes much difference, a progressive = a progressive = a progressive. Look at all the insanity we got in the second term of GWB.