Candidate | NYT | WSJ | CNN | CBS | MSNBC | RCP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitt Romney | 415 | 415 | 429 | 391 | 335 | 404 |
Rick Santorum | 176 | 176 | 169 | 140 | 107 | 161 |
Newt Gingrich | 105 | 105 | 118 | 95 | 111 | 105 |
Ron Paul | 47 | 47 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 61 |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 745 | 745 | 783 | 666 | 582 | 731 |
Mitt Romney | 56% | 56% | 55% | 59% | 58% | 55% |
Rick Santorum | 24% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 22% |
Newt Gingrich | 14% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 19% | 14% |
Ron Paul | 6% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1144 delegates are needed to win, at least they all agree on that.
You might be excused for thinking Tuesday was Rick Santorum's night with wins in 3 states and a near draw in Ohio. But he may have made a crucial strategic mistake by not challenging Newt Gingrich in Newt's home state of Georgia.
Gingrich's win and Santorum's distant third place finish in Georgia and puts Gingrich in position to beat Santorum in Alabama and Mississippi next week, states Santorum needs to win to overtake Romney.
Call me cynical but I don't buy Newt's $2.50/gallon gasoline platform when he's got two oil state governors, current Texas Governor Rick Perry and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, in his corner.
Still, it's going to be a long slog for Mitt Romney. According to my calculations, it is mathematically impossible for him to get the 1144 delegates he needs to clinch the nomination until May 8. It's now looking like he may not clinch until the California primary on June 5. That's two or three more months of primary campaigning.
Update: more complete counts from 8pm EST 3/7/2012.
Update: So far, Romney has won 14 states, Santorum has won 7 states, and Gingrich has won 2 states.
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