Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Massachusetts 10 Months and 2 or 3 Candidates Later

For Massachusetts, 2010 was an interesting year in politics to say the least. In January, Republican Scott Brown came out of nowhere to beat the sitting Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley in a special election for U.S. Senate.

In November, sitting Democratic Governor Deval Patrick won reelection against a well-financed Charlie Baker, helped along in part by an independent challenge from former Democrat Tim Cahill.

It is striking in looking at the margins of victory that Democrats picked up 255,881 votes against the Republicans in just 10 months. Tim Cahil only got 183,933 votes, probably not all from Scott Brown voters, so that is only part of the story.

Looking at the net votes the Democrats picked up from January to November by city and town, the big cities made the most difference. The 47 of 351 cities and towns with the top pickup for Democrats represesented 50% of the pickup but only 39% of the total vote.

Boston, Worcester, Springfield, Quincy, Brockton, Plymouth, Lowell, New Bedford, Weymouth, Lynn, Barnstable, Framingham, Fall River, and Haverhill were all at the top of the pickup list. The large Democratic-voting cities of Newton, Cambridge, Somerville, Brookline, Peabody, Arlington, Medford were solid for both Coakley and Patrick.

Yes, Democrats picked up votes in Weymouth where Charlie Baker meant nothing in Scott Brown's hometown. And Democrats were helped quite a bit in Quincy, Tim Cahill's hometown. But the return of voters to the Democrats in all the big cities is the other part of the story.

City or TownNet Dem PickupCumulative
Boston17,6006.88%
Worcester9,49210.59%
Weymouth5,32712.67%
Springfield5,22214.71%
New Bedford5,10716.71%
Quincy4,48618.46%
Plymouth3,72419.91%
Fall River3,35421.23%
Dartmouth2,91822.37%
Lowell2,83923.48%
Lawrence2,82424.58%
Lynn2,62325.60%
Brockton2,59326.62%
Taunton2,53127.61%
Barnstable2,40028.54%
Braintree2,33629.46%
Peabody2,25730.34%
Milton2,19431.20%
Holyoke2,11832.02%
Westfield2,10732.85%
Franklin2,09133.67%
Haverhill2,00234.45%
Attleboro1,94635.21%
North Attleborough1,93335.96%
Chicopee1,87636.70%
Falmouth1,81737.41%
Leominster1,81538.12%
Walpole1,74738.80%
Marshfield1,70839.47%
Agawam1,70540.13%
Waltham1,65140.78%
Holden1,64541.42%
Fitchburg1,63642.06%
Beverly1,63042.70%
Shrewsbury1,62543.33%
Dracut1,61543.96%
Bridgewater1,61444.59%
Methuen1,55245.20%
West Springfield1,53645.80%
Pittsfield1,52346.40%
Fairhaven1,51546.99%
Yarmouth1,50447.58%
Framingham1,48748.16%
Billerica1,45748.73%
Sandwich1,42049.28%
Middleborough1,40849.83%
Chelmsford1,40850.38%
Norwood1,40250.93%
East Longmeadow1,34551.46%
Wareham1,32751.97%
Hingham1,29152.48%
Marlborough1,25452.97%
Pembroke1,24453.45%
Wilmington1,23753.94%
Rockland1,21654.41%
Scituate1,21454.89%
Hanover1,21055.36%
Tewksbury1,20055.83%
Canton1,17556.29%
Dedham1,17356.75%
Mansfield1,16057.20%
Salem1,15957.65%
Woburn1,15658.11%
Longmeadow1,15158.56%
Auburn1,14159.00%
Danvers1,12259.44%
Revere1,11559.88%
Bourne1,10260.31%
Wrentham1,09160.73%
Acushnet1,08561.16%
Arlington1,08061.58%
Stoughton1,06962.00%
Wilbraham1,04362.40%
Somerset1,03262.81%
Easton1,02863.21%
Cambridge99163.60%
Abington98463.98%
Millbury97264.36%
Clinton95664.73%
Ludlow95265.11%
Milford94765.48%
Burlington94165.84%
Newton93966.21%
Dennis92766.57%
Foxborough91966.93%
Swansea91867.29%
East Bridgewater91767.65%
Harwich90668.00%
Kingston87968.35%
Grafton87868.69%
Whitman87569.03%
Everett87269.37%
South Hadley86869.71%
Hanson85770.05%
Westport85570.38%
Chelsea84770.71%
Gloucester81771.03%
Mashpee81671.35%
Leicester79671.66%
Charlton79571.97%
Southbridge79072.28%
Hull78672.59%
Norton78672.90%
Randolph78173.20%
Andover78173.51%
Northbridge77973.81%
North Andover77874.11%
Freetown77474.42%
Duxbury76074.71%
Newburyport75575.01%
Webster75275.30%
Medway74975.60%
Bellingham74775.89%
Gardner74576.18%
Seekonk73776.47%
Sutton73676.75%
Northborough73577.04%
Oxford73277.33%
North Reading71877.61%
Uxbridge70577.88%
Greenfield70378.16%
Athol70178.43%
Spencer69178.70%
Lakeville68778.97%
Watertown67779.24%
Norwell67679.50%
Westford66679.76%
Carver65780.02%
Raynham65480.27%
Rutland63380.52%
Natick63380.77%
Amesbury62081.01%
Palmer61781.25%
Lunenburg61581.49%
West Boylston60981.73%
Hudson60981.97%
Dudley60182.20%
Rehoboth60182.44%
Stoneham60082.67%
Ipswich59882.90%
Westborough59483.14%
Medford59483.37%
Mattapoisett59083.60%
Westwood55883.82%
Plainville55684.04%
Norfolk54584.25%
Somerville54084.46%
Needham53884.67%
Winthrop53584.88%
Belchertown53285.09%
Ware53085.29%
Salisbury52485.50%
Sturbridge52185.70%
Brewster52085.91%
Millis51386.11%
Douglas51086.30%
Southwick50886.50%
Blackstone50686.70%
Nantucket50186.90%
Rochester49787.09%
Orange49387.28%
Templeton49287.48%
Tyngsborough48687.67%
Dighton48087.85%
Halifax47388.04%
Medfield47388.22%
Melrose47288.41%
Pepperell46488.59%
Reading45788.77%
Wellesley45588.95%
Sterling45089.12%
Sharon45089.30%
Westminster44489.47%
Holbrook44189.64%
Townsend43889.81%
Belmont43889.99%
Ashland43690.16%
Paxton43090.32%
Hopkinton42290.49%
West Bridgewater41690.65%
Cohasset40390.81%
Hamilton39390.96%
Orleans39291.12%
Chatham38591.27%
Lexington37791.41%
Acton36791.56%
Dalton36291.70%
Winchendon36191.84%
Monson36191.98%
Granby36092.12%
Winchester35392.26%
Berkley35092.40%
Newbury34892.53%
Lancaster34592.67%
Wakefield34292.80%
Hampden34192.93%
Lenox34093.07%
Boylston33993.20%
Holliston33993.33%
North Brookfield33793.46%
Marion33693.59%
Ashburnham32693.72%
Montague32493.85%
Southampton32493.98%
Malden32494.10%
Barre32394.23%
Rockport32394.35%
Maynard31494.48%
Easthampton31394.60%
Lynnfield30694.72%
Boxford30494.84%
Groveland29594.95%
Littleton29195.07%
Hubbardston28595.18%
Lee28495.29%
Georgetown27895.40%
Eastham27795.51%
Shirley27595.61%
Upton26395.72%
Merrimac25995.82%
Middleton25695.92%
West Brookfield25596.02%
Saugus25596.12%
Ayer25496.22%
Rowley25496.32%
Avon24896.41%
Stow24696.51%
Hopedale24396.60%
Hadley24296.70%
Southborough23796.79%
Bedford23696.88%
Warren23396.97%
Deerfield22797.06%
Ashby22497.15%
Provincetown21297.23%
West Newbury20997.31%
Wayland20397.39%
Plympton19797.47%
Dunstable18697.54%
Mendon18597.62%
Richmond18497.69%
Lanesborough18297.76%
Groton18197.83%
Adams17997.90%
Oakham17697.97%
Bernardston17398.04%
Hardwick16598.10%
Essex16398.16%
Millville15698.23%
Princeton15698.29%
Brookfield14198.34%
Williamstown14098.40%
Sunderland13898.45%
East Brookfield13698.50%
Sheffield13498.56%
Wellfleet13398.61%
Hatfield12998.66%
Berlin12598.71%
Northfield12298.75%
Truro11798.80%
Westhampton11698.85%
Bolton11498.89%
Harvard11398.93%
West Stockbridge11198.98%
Wenham11199.02%
Topsfield11099.06%
Hinsdale10899.11%
Great Barrington10899.15%
Granville10799.19%
Phillipston10599.23%
Royalston10199.27%
Sherborn10199.31%
Manchester10199.35%
Holland10099.39%
Otis9999.43%
Cheshire9699.46%
Huntington9199.50%
Weston8999.54%
Wales8699.57%
Russell8399.60%
Stockbridge8299.63%
Sandisfield7499.66%
Buckland7299.69%
Whately7199.72%
Erving7099.75%
Colrain6799.77%
Gill6599.80%
Brimfield6599.82%
Dover6599.85%
Shelburne6499.87%
Charlemont6399.90%
Carlisle6299.92%
Egremont6099.95%
New Salem6099.97%
Blandford6099.99%
Worthington59100.02%
New Braintree58100.04%
New Marlborough55100.06%
Middlefield53100.08%
Tolland53100.10%
Alford52100.12%
Sudbury51100.14%
Monterey50100.16%
Hancock48100.18%
Oak Bluffs47100.20%
Leyden46100.22%
Conway46100.23%
Montgomery46100.25%
Petersham45100.27%
Windsor43100.29%
Tyringham42100.30%
Peru42100.32%
Becket40100.33%
Chester40100.35%
Savoy34100.36%
Washington30100.38%
Rowe26100.39%
Boxborough26100.40%
Brookline24100.40%
Chesterfield23100.41%
Heath21100.42%
Goshen20100.43%
New Ashford17100.44%
Hawley16100.44%
Williamsburg14100.45%
Nahant11100.45%
Florida8100.46%
Warwick7100.46%
Gosnold5100.46%
Amherst5100.46%
Plainfield4100.46%
Ashfield1100.46%
Cummington-3100.46%
Monroe-3100.46%
Concord-6100.46%
Pelham-11100.46%
Tisbury-11100.45%
Aquinnah-14100.45%
Clarksburg-15100.44%
Mount Washington-19100.43%
Wendell-22100.42%
Chilmark-30100.41%
Leverett-31100.40%
Shutesbury-36100.39%
Lincoln-43100.37%
West Tisbury-49100.35%
North Adams-68100.32%
Marblehead-72100.30%
Edgartown-73100.27%
Northampton-86100.23%
Swampscott-596100.00%
Total255,881100.00%

No comments: